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HardStochastic Processes

Expectation of GBM

Goldman SachsMorgan Stanley

A stock follows geometric Brownian motion dSt=μStdt+σStdWtdS_t = \mu S_t\,dt + \sigma S_t\,dW_t with S0S_0 given. What is E[ST]\mathbb{E}[S_T]?

Hints

Apply Itô to lnSt\ln S_t.

Use E[eaZ]=ea2/2\mathbb{E}[e^{aZ}] = e^{a^2/2} for standard normal ZZ.

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