Complete · 30 Days36 / 188
MediumProbabilityAcceptance 62%
Russian Roulette — Spin?
Jane StreetCitadel
A 6-chamber revolver has 2 bullets in adjacent chambers. The cylinder is spun, the trigger is pulled, and it’s empty. If you do NOT re-spin, what is the probability the next pull is also empty?
Approach
Condition on which empty chamber fired first.
Only the chamber right after a bullet is dangerous.
Answer
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